Mariex Oracle

Every game has a reward pool, sized from how much is traded on Kalshi and Polymarket. Good calls earn points during the game. When the game ends, you're paid:

Pool × your share of all points × your quality

Your quality comes from Your Quality Score. If you're the only one predicting a game and your score is 100, you take the whole pool.

Call the moments that move the market hard. Points grow with the square of the follow-through, so a call before a big swing can be worth several small ones. A 5¢ move earns about 3× what a 1¢ move does, and heavy trading in your direction adds more.

Your call has to land before the market moves. Beating it by anywhere from 0.05 to 3 seconds earns full speed credit. After that, credit fades to a quarter by 10 seconds.

If the market had already moved in the 3 seconds before your tap, the call counts as late and earns no points.

Your score is a rolling average of your recent calls, and it's squared when you're paid: a score of 90 keeps 81% of your share, while 50 keeps only 25%. So every point counts, most of all near the top.

• Ahead of the market: raises it, most when you're within 3 seconds.
• Late: pulls it toward 35.
• No market move: pulls it toward 25.
• Wrong direction: pulls it toward 0, the biggest hit.

No. Tapping when nothing happens lowers your score, and a lower score cuts everything you earn. Save your taps for moments you're confident will change who's likely to win. You can tap once every 2 seconds per game.

At least 3 good calls in a game to share its pool. After that, more good calls raise your share against other predictors, as long as they don't hurt your score.

Look at the Games tab. A bigger reward pool and fewer other predictors both mean more for you, and pools usually grow as a game gets closer and trading picks up. Very quiet markets earn no points, because small moves there are too easy to fake.

Your expected payout appears after 10 predictions. Compare it with the ticket price before you buy. It's an estimate, not a promise.

• Being at the game can put you ahead of TV and streaming delays.
• Keep the app open on the Signal tab with a good connection. Taps made while it says Reconnecting don't count.
• Pick your game before tip-off so you're ready.

A guest can play and earn straight away, but the rewards stay in that browser session. To cash out, a guest needs to confirm an email. If you lose the session, you can only get your rewards back if you added your email, by registering with that same email and confirming it. An account keeps everything safe from the start.

From 10 USDT, on the Wallet tab, once you've confirmed your email. Cash-outs are reviewed by hand before they're sent. You can earn up to 2000 USDT a day.